Back to the Etihad. City need a mood reset; Burnley need a miracle. The numbers say home banker, but this league loves chaos.
Match Info
- Competition: Premier League 2025/26
- Kick-off: Today, 17:00
- Venue: Etihad Stadium
Things to Watch Out For
- This fixture is a mismatch… on paper
City have won the last 13 meetings vs Burnley by an aggregate 46–2. Only West Brom, Bournemouth, Watford and Fulham have ever suffered longer City streaks. Ouch. - Turf Moor travellers’ nightmare
Burnley are winless in 19 league visits to Man City (D6 L13), and they’ve lost their last seven at the Etihad. The away end will need faith. - City stuttering, but still on the front foot
Just 7 points from 5 — City’s worst start at this stage since 2008/09 — yet they’ve spent 54% of league minutes winning, more than anyone. When they’re on top, they stay there. - Promoted-side tax
City have won 22 of their last 24 PL games vs promoted clubs (D2) since that shock Leeds defeat in 2021. Pep usually doesn’t mess around here. - Shots. Lots of them (on one side)
No team has faced more shots (95), shots on target (25) or xGA (~10.5) than Burnley this season. Meanwhile City are oddly averaging just 11 shots per game — their lowest rate on record. Will Pep’s lot turn the tap back on today?
Form & Odds Snapshot
- Table before kick-off: City 9th (7 pts), Burnley 17th (4 pts).
- Win probability: Man City 82%, Draw 12%, Burnley 6%.
Translation: everything screams City… but football is rude sometimes.
Prediction
Burnley concede loads; City usually feast in this fixture. Unless the finishing drought continues, this should be straightforward.
Pick: Man City 3–0 Burnley
Community Section
City fans: statement win incoming or still scruffy in front of goal?
Burnley fans: where’s the route to an upset — set pieces, low block, nick-and-run?
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